China wins big in Pelosi Taiwan visit

China wins big in Pelosi Taiwan visit

Hosia Mviringi

The day is Tuesday August 2, 2022 and the big news is that US Senate House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is already airborne, from a Malaysian Airport en route to the Chinese Island of Taiwan.
Pelosi’ visit was meant to galvanise anti-Chinese sentiment and a push for Taiwanese independence in violation of the ‘One China Policy’ and in blatant disregard of Chinese sovereignty.
Of course it was big news that she proceeded defiantly against Chinese protests and warning against her visit which is viewed in China as an attempt to embolden the Taiwanese political leadership into pressing ahead with declaration of independence from mainland China.
Chinese Foreign Minister said on the same Tuesday that those US politicians who “play with fire” on the Taiwan issue will “come to no good end”, in direct reference to Pelosi’s visit.
China then indicated that the People’s Liberation Army would not idly sit by and watch such provocation in its backyard.
Yet bigger and better news is that China did not execute its threat of military action much to the embarrassment of the US establishment which had expected a bountiful encounter judging by their massive military deployment all over the streets of Taipei and in the waters surrounding the Chinese island.

Yet, to discerning political observers, it is the Chinese threatening statement that excited Washington and gave them hope that their strategy would work this time.
Of course, the Chinese statement was more effective in a different way than the US expected.
Flight Radar, the renowned flight monitoring site crashed driven by world curiosity to know what would become of Chinese threats since Pelosi was seemingly proceeding in defiance.
The Chinese statement re-awakened and redirected world attention to the behaviour of the US government as the chief aggressor and biggest threat to world peace.
It is the Chinese statement that showed the world how the US could act blatantly in disregard of the real danger of igniting a deadly war against a nuclear armed nation such as China.
It is indeed such carelessness that is capable of creating chances for mistakes and misjudgement which could trigger a nuclear war which no one could win.
Did China really mean war by those threats?
Of course not! The Chinese are not stupid. Firstly because the Chinese have carefully and closely studied the US foreign policy which has for a long time now been preparing for war with China.
It then goes without saying that the Chinese are very awake to the provocative realities that will confront the Asian nation going forward.

By not acting on their threat, China scored technical victory against the US, as there was no compelling reason for attacking Pelosi or the Taiwanese island, at least for now.
If anything, the current Chinese restraint makes them very unpredictable and potentially a difficult target for American military hegemony.
The threat alone induced America into full deployment and exposure of the extent of their military strength in the region. Good for Chinese military planners.
Now it’s back to the drawing board for the US military and strategic think tanks.
When they had hoped to remove world attention from devastating loses in Ukraine at the hands of Russia, it’s back to Ukraine as China failed. Shame!
*What’s the foreign policy goals for the US in its confrontation with China?*
The United States is aware that China, even though still ranked as a developing country, has become the unofficial biggest economy and a leader in Artificial intelligence, up staging the US.
The world can recall that the US policy on China took a turn during Donald Trump’s rule, who unofficially declared an economic war on China citing its dominance in trade and investments in American companies as well as its technological advancement such as the 5G technology.

As such, China could not be expected to sleepwalk into a war which is clearly meant to destroy its economic growth ambitions.
Therefore, the Chinese threats could only be viewed as a war cry which exposed the US as a careless bully in the school yard. And it worked!
Contrast the US foreign policy which is anchored on expansionism and hard power imperialism through the crushing of enemies through geopolitical militarism, China’s foreign policy is based on multilateralism, joint agreement and partnerships.
Chinese foreign policy is built around influencing peoples of the world through economic cooperation, thus the highly successful Belt and Road initiative which is coveted by many.
The initiative is uniting the work through investment and trade.
Sensing the danger of losing its place in the world geopolitics as well as its economic hegemony based on the petro-dollar, the US will use any and all disruptive tactics at its disposal to disturb the current build up of alternative economic system through principally a new monetary system between China, Russia, India, Brazil and now potentially Saudi Arabia, a system which by-passes the US Dollar denominated SWIFT system.
This can be understood as the major driving force behind US desperate attempts to ignite another crisis in China, while inflaming the one in Ukraine and further scupper or at least delay progress on the new economic powerhouse anchored around the BRICS concept.
This tactic is designed to keep these two powerful economies busy at war while delaying a progression into a new world order where alternative economic systems exist to challenge US hegemony.
Another reason for US provocation against China is a desperate attempt to separate China from Russia and avoid a potential military alliance, which could very much match or surpass NATO as we know it today.
The US will attempt to destroy its enemy strength in unity while it continues to build a bigger and stronger NATO.
Chinese military planners are very much awake to these realities and thus could not be stupid to be drawn into a conflict that served their rivals more than it served the Chinese people.
The Taiwan crisis was designed to suck Chinese military strength while diminishing its economic influence in global affairs.
Yet it is folly to take Chinese inaction as a sign of timid cowardice. China currently enjoys the biggest military spending in the world, even bigger than the US.
As such, in sharp contrast to some widespread perception that China chickened out from an imminent direct confrontation with the United States of America, it is the US that is currently smarting with shame, eggs all over the face because it failed to get what it so desperately wanted, war, in the face of an embarrassing challenge from Russia in Ukraine. Chinese inaction was driven more by the need for self preservation than cowardice.
Of course it can be said that Nancy Pelosi’ visit to Taiwan qualifies as the biggest threat to world peace since World War 2.
The US has been spoiling for an opportunity to whip up anti-Chinese sentiments which could ignite world solidarity for war against the Asian country.
Either the Chinese could have miscalculated, shot down Nancy Pelosi and ignite what would then be christened” righteous war”, or the US could sacrifice her on Chinese soil and still head in the same direction of a “holy war” in ‘retaliation’.
Indeed Nancy was playing with fire!
It is thus clear that the US is desperately looking for a scapegoat to validate its aggression against China.
In 2019, Jake Sullivan, who later became the US National Security Advisor, revealed in an interview that indeed the US needed a ‘Pearl Harbour’ incident, one to change the worldview of China, paint it as a global threat and rally consensus against the Asian country. And the reckless Pelosi visit could have just done that!
Chinese threats for military action upon Pelosi visit to Taiwan was interestingly misinterpreted as a threat for war by mainland China, yet it was a smart way to expose the US as a shameless war monger who has been spoiling for a proxy war with China for a long time.

There are many aspects of international relations that come into consideration before critical decisions such as going to war are taken.
Therefore, the latest attempt at brewing a crisis in Taiwan must be understood in the context of the US need to overwhelm and break the most active and most powerful players in the latest attempt to break the US Dollar hegemony on the global economy.
Historically, the US is known to build its economy during war times, and as such, war is business to the United States.
In the US, war is viewed in the same manner as an investment that must bring back dividends. As such China, being led by an astute leader, President Xi Jinping read through the US intentions and refused to be a player in a game with no rules.
Therefore, in the latest US attempt at igniting another world war, China wins big victory for the world.
It is to China’s credit that the world is at peace today.